highlights and clarifies significant details about Hillary Clinton's primary state victories (vs. Barack Obama's caucus state victories). This is important information for superdelegates. Here are the highlights:
35.6 million people have voted The 37 primary states account for 97% of the vote. The 13 caucus states account for 3% of the vote. Bottom line: Clinton’s lead is from 34.5 million voters (97%) in Primaries. Obama’s lead is from 1.1 million voters (3%) in caucuses. [More...]
Out of the 50 state elections so far, Clinton has won 20 primaries and Obama has won 17. In comparison, Obama has dominated the Caucus contests by winning 12 of 13, plus the Texas caucus. 42% of his (Obama) wins are caucus states.
...After 50 election contests to date, Obama leads Clinton by 113 pledged delegates. 97.4% of the difference – 110 delegates – is directly attributable to lopsided victories in caucus contests.
...In the 37 primaries, Hillary Clinton is up 500,000 votes (counting Florida and Michigan and giving Barack Obama 75% of the votes of Michigan's uncommitted delegates.) This gives her a 67 delegate lead in the primaries. In the 13 caucus states, Obama is up 300,000 votes which has resulted in a 205 delegate lead.
The electoral map:
21 of Obama’s 29 states won are either caucus states or Red states – including 80% of the deepest Red that have not voted Democratic since 1964 to 1976. With a win in SD and MT, he will finish with 230 Electoral Votes –121 of those from Red states.
...Notably, if Obama is the Democratic nominee, he will start the race for the Presidency with 109 Electoral Votes from blue or purple states. That’s 40% of what he’ll need to win in November.
...In contrast, only one of Clinton’s 20 states won plus Puerto Rico is a caucus and only 26% of her total Electoral Votes are from Red states.
...Further, 227 of Clinton’s 308 EV are from blue and purple states meaning that she would start the Presidential race having won states that account for 84% of the EV needed to win the Whitehouse.
The original report and background can be found here.
I have put this information in a PDF file:
Download 622008_highlights_of_peniel_cronin_primary_v_caucus_report.pdf .
Simply download it, cut and paste it into your word processing program (or a plain text editor), add your own personal fact or note, save it, then paste it into a Superdelegate message.
Here's the link: Lobby Superdelegates.
Choose your state and determine which of the superdelegates you want to lobby. Now is not the time to be shy!
Might want to point out this fact, too, courtesy of a recent Gallup poll:
The only major demographic group still supporting Clinton to the tune of 51% or more is women aged 50 and older. This group's preferences have changed little during May, at the same time that Clinton's support among younger men (those 18 to 49) has declined by nearly 10 points. (Personally, I think the graphs are much more eye-opening...)
Comments